Generated 2026-07-19 08:25 UTC · google/gemma-3-27b-it
World Cup 2026 – Finishing Efficiency Analysis
Standout Performers: The Netherlands are highly efficient, converting 57% of shots – significantly above the tournament median (33%). Switzerland and France also demonstrate strong finishing, exceeding 50% conversion despite higher shot volumes.
Style & Trends: High shot volume doesn’t guarantee success. France & Canada take many shots, but their conversion rates are only average. Several teams (Netherlands, Switzerland) prove clinical finishing is key, needing fewer opportunities to score. Overall, teams are creating chances, but finishing remains inconsistent.
Surprising Outlier: New Zealand, ranked 85th, boasts a 47% conversion rate, equal to Sweden. This suggests exceptional composure in front of goal or fortunate shot selection, defying their FIFA ranking.
Watch In Upcoming Matches: Brazil’s relatively low conversion rate (45%) given their attacking talent is concerning. If they don’t improve their finishing, even creating chances won’t be enough against top opposition. Expect them to focus on higher-quality shot selection.
Shot Conversion%
— percentage of a team's shots that result in a goal.
Shots/match
— average shots taken per match.
Bubble size
— bigger for a better (lower-numbered) FIFA Men's World Ranking position — size scales inversely with the log of the rank, so the spread is gentle rather than dramatic.
Dotted lines
— median value on each axis across all teams shown, splitting the chart into four quadrants.
/match rate
— stat total divided by matches played, so teams with different match counts compare fairly.
Color
— confederation (continental governing body) of the team.
AI Commentary
Generated 2026-07-19 08:25 UTC · google/gemma-3-27b-it
World Cup 2026 – Finishing Efficiency Analysis