Dashboards, models, charts, repos
🎯 Risk Regimes
▾🇨🇳 China Growth Regime
Chinese risk appetite regime measure
🌐 EMFX Risk Diffusion
📉 FX CTA Models
FX CTA/momentum positioning tracker
💱 Currencies
▾💱 FX Mean Reversion Grid
Currency pair classification based on trend and mean reversion analysis
🌐 BIS Real Effective Exchange Rate
Broad REER for 30 economies
📉 DXY Four-Year Range Rank
Rolling percentile rank of the U.S. Dollar Index within its 4-year high/low range. Flags OB/OS extremes coinciding with major structural USD cycle turns.
🧺 FX Baskets — Relative Strength
25 currencies benchmarked against a customisable DM majors basket.
📏 FX 200-Day MA Extension
25 currencies (EM + DM) ranked by % distance from their 200-day moving average.
🎯 FX Beta Valuations
OLS peer-beta fair-value model for 25 currencies. Spot vs. model-implied level — rankings, residual bands, and 3 selectable training windows.
📐 G10 FX Rates Fair Value
OLS fair-value model for 9 G10 currency pairs using 5Y rate differentials. Residual scoreboard, misvaluation index, and annual fair value bands.
📊 FX Factor Fair Value
Lasso regression model using 13 factor/style ETF ratios (Momentum, Quality, Value, Beta, Size) to estimate fair value for 10 EM+G10 currency pairs. Residual scoreboard + individual currency explorer.
💹 FX Equity Sector Fair Value
Currency fair value models using relative equity sectors
🌍 FX Country Equity Fair Value
LASSO fair-value model for 23 currencies using country equity ETF performance relative to the US. LassoCV alpha selection, top-5 predictor refit, residual percentile bands, and a ForceAtlas2 currency relationship graph.
🏛️ US Treasuries
▾⚖️ US 10Y Treasury Fair Value Model
Parsimonious decomposition of the 10-year yield into r* (rolling GDP trend), inflation expectations, and the Kim-Wright term premium — with a rich/cheap residual signal.
📐 10Y TIPS Fair Value Model
OLS regression of the 10-year TIPS real yield on the Laubach-Williams neutral rate (R*) and the ACM term premium — with cointegration diagnostics and a rich/cheap residual signal.
🏦 US 10Y Treasury: Policy-Based Fair Value
OLS model forecasting the 10-year yield from Fed policy stance variables — 2Y yield, policy spread (DGS2−FFR), real FFR gap, and Taylor Rule deviation. R²=0.93.
📈 10Y Treasury Yield — 200-Day MA Monitor
Daily two-panel dashboard tracking the 10Y Treasury yield vs its 200-day moving average over 40 years, with a residual signal and ±1σ/±2σ mean-reversion bands.
🏛️ Treasury Market Analysis
US treasury dashboard
🏛️ Treasury CTA Signals
US Treasury yield CTA positioning tracker — 2Y/5Y/10Y/30Y with dual fast/slow modes
📊 Other Fixed Income
▾📊 5Y Bond Yield Spread Explorer
Z-score heatmap of pairwise 5Y government bond yield spreads across 10 G10 currencies. Click any cell to explore the spread time series.
📊 Bond ETF Holdings
Interactive treemap visualization of emerging market bond allocations
🫧 EMB Duration vs Yield
Daily bubble chart of bond holdings (EM, DM, Sovs, Corps) — duration (X) vs yield (Y), bubble size = market value.
💱 ICVT Convertible Bond Bubble
iShares Convertible Bond ETF holdings mapped by Yield to Worst vs. Modified Duration, sized by portfolio weight and colored by sector.
🌍 EM Credit Spreads
Sovereign bond spreads versus credit ratings analysis and trends
📰 News Feed
▾📰 FT Headlines by Topic
Financial Times headlines filtered by topic — oil & gas, earnings, Middle East, shipping, AI, US–China. Slider to select 1–21 day lookback.
🗞️ NYT Headlines by Topic
New York Times headlines filtered by topic — World, Business, Technology, Politics, Economy, Science, Climate, Middle East, Asia Pacific, US. Updated hourly.
📊 Macro Indicators
▾📰 US Daily Markets Update
Sell-side economist analyst notes on major US macro releases (NFP, CPI, GDP, PCE, and more), auto-generated daily via Gemma 4 and FRED data.
📈 SPF Real GDP Vintage Chart
Tracks how Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters consensus GDP growth forecasts evolved across survey quarters.
📊 US Leading Indicators
...with NBER recession shading
🌡️ Inflation Pressures Heat Map
11-indicator heat map replicating SF Fed (Daly, Hoover 2026): tariff shock, oil shock, labor market, and expectations channels. Z-scored vs 2018–2024 baseline. Updated daily.
🇺🇸 U.S. Inflation Dashboard
Monthly CPI breakdown using BLS data
🇲🇽 Mexico GDP Nowcaster
Real-time IGAE/GDP nowcast using three OLS bridge equations. Ensemble-weighted with 90% bootstrap CI.
🇪🇺 Eurozone GDP Nowcaster
Real-time Euro Area GDP nowcast using four OLS bridge equations — Activity (S&P Global PMI), External (US INDPRO, Brent oil), Financial (EUR/USD, Stoxx 50), and Industrial (IPI). Ensemble-weighted with 90% bootstrap CI.
✈️ Macro Aviation Pulse
Real-time air traffic density monitor tracking aircraft congestion across Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, and China as high-frequency EM economic activity proxies. Computes a 7-day Congestion Index and flags regions with traffic >20% below baseline.
🛂 TSA Traveler Tracker
Daily US checkpoint throughput — 2026 YTD vs. 2021–2025 historical range. High-frequency domestic travel demand proxy.
📬 Newsletter Digest
Weekly Gemma 4 synthesis of 57 macro, credit, energy, and equity research newsletters — dominant themes, analyst divergences, and actionable signals.
🌍 Country Research
▾🌍 Emerging Markets Dashboard
IMF World Economic Outlook data visualization and country profiles
🇧🇷 Brazil DPF Debt Holders
Holdings of Brazil's Federal Public Debt (DPF)
🇧🇷 Brasil IPCA Apr 2026
Interactive inflation dashboard — 7 Plotly charts + heatmap table recreating GS Economics Research using BCB SGS data. Headline 4.37% YoY, core services 5.32%.
🇧🇷 Brasil Macro Reports
Economic analysis and macro research for Brazil including COPOM watch, fiscal reports, labor data, and market insights
🇧🇷 Brasil FOCUS Vintages
How BCB FOCUS market consensus forecasts for each reference year evolved over time — 12 indicators including IPCA, PIB, Selic, and Câmbio.
🇲🇽 Mexico Macro Reports
Economic analysis and macro research for Mexico including Banxico watch, fiscal reports, energy sector, and market insights
🌍 IMF Publications Monitor
IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, Country Reports, and Blog tracking with emerging markets focus
🌍 Sovereign Credit Analysis
Moody's/Fitch-style sovereign credit notes using an IMF-DSA framework
🏦 Central Banks
▾🏦 Central Bank Monitor
All central bank watchers in one place — Fed, ECB, BOJ, RBA, Banxico, BOC, and more. Reports organized by institution.
📐 Taylor & Balanced Approach Rule Calculator
Historical Taylor Rule and Balanced Approach Rule vs. actual fed funds rate — plus a live calculator using Core PCE, unemployment, and the neutral rate. Source: FRED.
🛢️ Commodities & Geopolitics
▾🛢️ WTI Crude Oil Futures Strip
Tracks December WTI crude futures (2026–2030) — term structure, calendar spreads, and historical price evolution via Yahoo Finance.
🛢️ Weekly Petroleum Stocks by PADD
EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report — crude oil, motor gasoline, and distillate fuel oil inventory by PAD District with 5-year seasonal range. Updated every Wednesday via EIA Open Data API.
🚢 Strait of Hormuz Transit Tracker
Daily ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz with 5-year seasonal band. Source: IMF PortWatch.
⛽ EIA Petroleum Spot Prices
Daily spot prices for WTI, Brent, gasoline, diesel, heating oil, jet fuel, and propane — with 1D, 1W, 1M, 3M, 12M, and 5Y % changes. Source: EIA Open Data API.
📈 Equities
▾📊 Earnings Reports Archive
Earnings tearsheets
🔭 Earnings Previews
Pre-earnings briefings with consensus estimates, analyst sentiment, beat/miss track record, and key metrics to watch ahead of each report.
📊 Unlimited ETFs — Holdings Monitor
Daily holdings tracker for HFND, HFGM, HFMF, and HFEQ.
📊 GVIP — Hedge Industry VIP ETF
Daily holdings tracker for the Goldman Sachs Hedge Fund VIP Index, with sector breakdown, position change log, and AI-generated analyst commentary.
📉 Options Chain Monitor
OTM options chain with AI collar analysis — 5 calls + 5 puts across quarterly expiries, Gemma-generated commentary on best collars and OI hot spots.
🎲 Rafa
▾⚽ WC2026 Ticket Prices
StubHub min prices for WC games at MetLife (NJ) & Lincoln Financial (PA). Highlights drops ≥20% from the 24h rolling high.
🏃 NYRR Registration Timeline
Race registration opening dates — updated 2x daily. Alerts on new batches.
🌡️ Manhattan Temperature Wheel
Radial climate chart — 20-year median vs. current year YTD, with adjustable percentile bands. Updated weekly.
🎲 Yahtzee Odds Visualizer
Interactive tool showing every possible dice outcome for your Yahtzee roll.